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Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
Presents an Airline Economics Seminar,
Survival of the fittest:
The impact of low-cost carriers on competition

Date: Wednesday, April 7, 2004
8:00 am - 12:15 pm EST
Location: National Press Club
Room TBD, 13th Floor
529 14th Street, NW
Washington, D.C. 20045
Cross-street: F Street, NW
Metro Center Metro

Hosted by: Darryl Jenkins,
 Visiting Professor,
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
See Jenkins' White Paper
(File is .pdf format, Adobe Acrobat required)

Agenda

8:00 am
Continental Breakfast
8:30 am
Welcome and Keynote Address

Daniel Petree
Dean, College of Business,
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
Michael E. Levine
Professor,
Yale Law School
See Levine's Power Point Presentation


9:15 am
Hubs vs. Point-to-Point: Can the Market Support Both?
As competition becomes more intense between network and low-cost carriers, many believe that traditional hub-and-spoke systems have outlived their usefulness. Are there too many hubs? Would fewer hubs mean fewer destinations served and higher fares? What impact could point-to-point carriers have on competition and future regulatory policy?

CHAIR:
Darryl Jenkins
Visiting Professor,
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University
PANELISTS:
Robert Gordon
Stanley G. Harris Professor,
Dept. of Economics, Northwestern University
See Gordon's Power Point Presentation
Daniel M. Kasper

Managing Director,
Law and Economics Consulting Group
See Kasper's Power Point Presentation


10:00 am
Pricing Shifts: Moving Towards a Cost-Based Model
Low-cost carriers have changed the pricing landscape dramatically, creating a shift from a demand-based to a cost-based pricing model. What does this mean for network airlines, many of which continue to grapple with high-costs? Will some carriers be in a position to demand a premium price for a ticket? Is this the beginning of the "de-commodization" of air travel? What does this mean for consumers, who seek low fares?

CHAIR:
Darryl Jenkins
PANELISTS:
Gary Chase
Analyst,
Lehman Brothers
See Chase's Power Point Presentation
Vaughn Cordle

Chief Executive Officer,
Airlineforecasts, LLC
See Cordle's Power Point Presentation


10:45 am Coffee Break

11:00 am
Government's Role: Ensuring Competition?
Since 2001, there has been a dramatic change in the competitive landscape of the U.S. passenger airline industry. Traditional network carriers have cut service, while low-cost carriers have experienced phenomenal growth. To many, the industry continues to face problems of overcapacity, which will prevent a lasting recovery. How should this new reality impact regulatory policy? Can we rely on the marketplace to determine winners and losers, or does government play a role?

CHAIR:
Michael E. Levine
PANELISTS:
Kenneth Button
Professor,
School of Public Policy,
George Mason University
See Button's Power Point Presentation
Chris Bertram

Senior Professional Staff,
Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation, Aviation Subcommittee
See Bertram's Power Point Presentation
Patrick V. Murphy, Jr.
Partner,
Gerchick-Murphy Associates, LLC.
See Murphy's Power Point Presentation


11:45 am
Closing Remarks - Putting it All Together

Dan P. Kaplan
Senior Vice President,
Glassman-Oliver Economic Consultants
See Kaplan's Power Point Presentation


12:15 pm
Conference Ends